Ranking for signal to noise ratio
Seth's Blog 22 May 2012, 11:45 am CEST
A whisper in a quiet room is all you need. There's so little noise, so few distractions, that the energy of the whisper is enough to make a dent.
On the other hand, it's basically impossible to have a conversation (at any volume) in a nightclub.
Signal to noise ratio is a measurement of the relationship between the stuff you want to hear and the stuff you don't. And here's the thing: Twitter and email and Facebook all have a bad ratio, and it's getting worse.
The clickthrough rates on tweets is getting closer and closer to zero. Not because there aren't links worth clicking on, but because there's so much junk you don't have the attention or time to sort it all out.
Spam (and worse, spamlike messages from organizations and people that ought to treasure your attention and permission) are turning a medium (email) that used to be incredibly rich into one that's becoming very noisy as well.
And you really can't do much to fix these media and still use them the way you're used to using them.
The alternative, which is well worth it, is to find new channels you can trust. An RSS feed with only bloggers who respect your time. Relentless editing of who you follow and who you listen to and what gets on the top of the pile.
Until you remove the noise, you're going to miss a lot of signal.
The endless emergency of politics
Seth's Blog 21 May 2012, 10:07 pm CEST
Good governance is like great marketing--it takes the long view, and relentlessly focuses on delivering on agreed upon goals over time.
Politics, on the other hand, is more like a ping pong match, and, thanks to electronic media, it's getting faster when we'd be better off if it slowed down.
Those that work in politics are now addicted to today's emergency, whatever it is. It could be a world event, a faux scandal or merely something the other side said. They use it to fundraise, they use it to distribute talking points and they use it to get attention and score points on the opposition. And they use polls to keep score, daily.
It's practically impossible to get the attention or effort of people on a campaign unless you've got something urgent and imminent to discuss. This is no way to do serious marketing.
One side effect of the endless emergency is an insatiable need for cash. Clearly, money spent on campaigns is effective (particularly in depressing the vote for an opponent), but just as clearly, it doesn't scale. Twice as much money is not twice as effective. When the campaign falls in love with the combination of instant reaction plus unlimited fundraising, all strategy and leadership go out the window.
The problem with getting elected using emergency tactics is that it makes it harder than ever to govern for the long term.
[Here's my post about the endless emergency of poverty].
You will be judged (or you will be ignored)
Seth's Blog 21 May 2012, 11:38 am CEST
Those are pretty much the only two choices.
Being judged is uncomfortable. Snap judgments, prejudices, misinformation... all of these, combined with not enough time (how could there be) to truly know you, means that you will inevitably be misjudged, underestimated (or overestimated) and unfairly rejected.
The alternative, of course, is much safer. To be ignored.
Up to you.
Commercial Karma
BBH Labs 21 May 2012, 8:28 am CEST
Author: Jim Carroll, Chairman, BBH London
Memories light the corners of my mind Misty,water colored memories Of the way we were. ~ Barbra Streisand, The Way We Were
I attended the Damien Hirst show at the Tate Modern. Flies and fags, butterflies and bling, spin and spots, drugs and death… There. You don’t need to see it now.
I walked away somewhat hollow. I felt a pang of guilt and recognition. Guilt because Hirst was in many ways the adman’s artist. Art that came with a nudge, a wink and a knowing punchline. Art as quick hit, shiny bright, paper thin. Recognition because, yes, that was Britain in the ’90s. Spin doctors and Spice Girls, boy bands and man bags, heroin chic and Shabba Ranks, lads and Loaded, puffas and Prozac, Wonderbra and Wonderwall, alcopops and Posh & Becks. Fool Britannia…. There was no god, no beauty, no other. Just money and death and irony. Things could only get worse…
I’m not sure I blame Damien Hirst. I suspect he’s a very good artist. He was very effectively holding a mirror up to us and our values. Or lack of them. And I suspect each generation gets the art it deserves. Flies and fags was maybe all we were good for in the ’90s.
Don’t you also think that we get the advertising we deserve? As an Agency, as a Client, as a culture ? When we hark back to a golden hued, bygone age of celestial communication, are we not condemning our own failure to create greatness now? When the disappointed Client fires the disappointing Agency, isn’t he or she shirking personal responsibility? When we rail against cruel fate and happenstance, when we bemoan the recession, or reach for the blame gun, shouldn’t we be looking in the mirror first?
I believe in commercial karma. That, broadly speaking, in advertising as in life, we reap what we sow. That what goes around comes around. Not for some spiritual, counter cultural, gaia-type reason. But because, though it seems trite to say it, in the long run, smart, open minded Clients, working with intelligent, lateral Agencies, for honest, worthwhile brands, will make better, more effective work. And vice versa.
I guess I have witnessed exceptions to this. The craven creative, the malevolent marketing director, the bullying business director have on occasion won the day. But overall in my experience fakes are found out, charlatans are shopped. Good prevails.
Instant karma’s gonna get you Gonna knock you right on the head You better get yourself together Pretty soon you’re gonna be dead ~ John Lennon, Instant Karma
Of course in the past one had to wait for hubris to be followed by inevitable nemesis. Nowadays the social web has created a kind of instant karma. Because the courtroom of public opinion is so immediate and all seeing. It shines an unforgiving,instantaneous light on the ill conceived and poorly executed. It likewise rewards the virtuous with currency and value.
I had always believed that Corporate Social Responsibility was exactly that: a responsibility that a business owed to the communities it served. I wasn’t so enamoured of more fashionable phrases like social investment because I didn’t feel ethics needed commercial justification. And I wasn’t convinced CSR had a role in marketing or brand.
Now I have been persuaded that ethics are more than a responsibility. They are fundamental to a brand’s sustainability in a transparent, socialised world. Because increasingly consumers are unwilling to buy good products from bad people. Because in a world of commercial karma only the good Clients, good admen and good brands can win.
A true story
Seth's Blog 20 May 2012, 11:18 am CEST
Of course, that's impossible.
There's no such thing as a true story. As soon as you start telling a story, making it relevant and interesting to me, hooking it into my worldviews and generating emotions and memories, it ceases to be true, at least if we define true as the whole truth, every possible fact, non-localized and regardless of culture.
Since you're going to tell a story, you might as well get good at it, focus on it and tell it in a way that you're proud of.
Where's the heat?
Seth's Blog 19 May 2012, 11:03 am CEST
Is that your goal? To find the next hot thing? Do you want to buy it, sell it, use it, eat it?
In every industry where there's fashion (which is every industry), people spend an enormous amount of time looking for heat. It defines the cutting edge, determines what's in or out, what's hot or not.
Two things worth considering:
a. the hot thing isn't always the thing that's aligned with your goals. Sure, sometimes the most profitable item is also the hot item of the moment, but for many companies, market share or profitability or utility has not a lot to do with being on the cutting edge of fashion. And as a user, the hot item of the moment isn't necessarily the thing that will create value or even identify you as truly hip.
b. The cycle of hot keeps getting shorter.
You can chase this, but it's not free, and it might not get you where you want to go.
Me + Asia = Karaoke
Buy me, I'll change your life 18 May 2012, 2:44 am CEST
I have a karaoke set up at home so I’m a bit addicted to the sport. The planners from Y&R and MEC all went out one night where I saw mic covers for the first time. I’ve been singing unprotected and never realized. I (foolishly) promised I wouldn’t publish pics and video from that night.
Later in the week, I found myself out with Argha Sen. I met Argha last year at the Festival of Media where we were both on the judges panel for their awards. He is the head of marketing in Asia for Toys ‘R Us as well as a passionate foodie. He’s also a generous spirit and planned three different evenings in Hong Kong at hidden kitchens and various other places off of the tourist track. Plus he has a wonderfully diverse group of friends who joined each evening and gave me multiple perspectives on the city. We drank whiskey in a speakeasy. We danced to live African music. We ate a special Thai meal prepared by the chef of Bo.lan who had been brought over from Bangkok to delight our palates with jungle curry, oysters and slow cooked pork.
My last night in Hong Kong was Jason’s wife’s birthday so Argha got a few people together and we started with a drink on the 118th floor of the Ritz Carlton to say good bye to the city. Then we went to a little Japan type area and ate the most massive boat of sushi. His friend Thomas has this gem of an apartment in a seedy neighborhood so we went there for a drink. Argha knows I have no problem singing at any time, so I became the entertainment. For one night only, I got to hog the pretend mic and sing my heart’s content. Thanks to all my new friends for making Hong Kong such a wonderful experience.
Me + Asia = Karaoke
Buy me, I'll change your life 18 May 2012, 2:44 am CEST
I have a karaoke set up at home so I’m a bit addicted to the sport. The planners from Y&R and MEC all went out one night where I saw mic covers for the first time. I’ve been singing unprotected and never realized. I (foolishly) promised I wouldn’t publish pics and video from that night.
Later in the week, I found myself out with Argha Sen. I met Argha last year at the Festival of Media where we were both on the judges panel for their awards. He is the head of marketing in Asia for Toys ‘R Us as well as a passionate foodie. He’s also a generous spirit and planned three different evenings in Hong Kong at hidden kitchens and various other places off of the tourist track. Plus he has a wonderfully diverse group of friends who joined each evening and gave me multiple perspectives on the city. We drank whiskey in a speakeasy. We danced to live African music. We ate a special Thai meal prepared by the chef of Bo.lan who had been brought over from Bangkok to delight our palates with jungle curry, oysters and slow cooked pork.
My last night in Hong Kong was Jason’s wife’s birthday so Argha got a few people together and we started with a drink on the 118th floor of the Ritz Carlton to say good bye to the city. Then we went to a little Japan type area and ate the most massive boat of sushi. His friend Thomas has this gem of an apartment in a seedy neighborhood so we went there for a drink. Argha knows I have no problem singing at any time, so I became the entertainment. For one night only, I got to hog the pretend mic and sing my heart’s content. Thanks to all my new friends for making Hong Kong such a wonderful experience.
Netflix Gets It Right With Drive and Ryan Gosling
Paul Isakson 16 May 2012, 8:49 pm CEST
Netflix uses the Ryan Gosling "Hey Girl, ..." meme on Facebook and Twitter to announce that Drive is now available on disc and streaming. I love how this plays right along with culture. Nice work, Netflix.
Digital analogs are no longer sufficient
Seth's Blog 16 May 2012, 11:00 am CEST
The parking meter was rebooting. I guess
we're supposed to walk to the other end of the garage and find one
that's working.
We're seeing digital awareness coming to just about everything. In this case, it was the parking meter near the library. Of course, it's not really a parking meter, it's a centralized fee collection system that saves the town a lot of money. It's easier to collect from, certainly, it doesn't waste the time of meter readers (who get alerted as to what spaces aren't paid for, as opposed to checking them all) plus it doesn't let a new parker enjoy a few minutes of the last person's payment.
I understand how the incremental sale of this device was easier to maket to the town and to the community. It's just like what we have now, but better.
The problem, of course, is that it's not as better as it could be. Just about every traditional non-digital solution is bounded by the limits of mechanics. Once we start connecting (and the connection revolution won't rest until it's all connected) then the problem can be reset--we can find the best solution, not a better way to solve it the old way.
Why do I have to guess how long I'm going to be parking? Why pay a penalty if I underguess, or waste community resources on patrolling for compliance?
Of course, I don't care much about parking meters. I care a lot about using digital shadows of real world devices because we don't have the imagination to reinvent them.
In this particular case: why bother have a meter at all? After all, the state knows my license plate, the state has a billing relationship with me, the state can (and does) collect money for my driving behaviors (like EZ Pass). So why not drive into the space and have the space just take care of all the paperwork and billing? No tickets, no meter readers. If you don't want local merchants to park in the good spaces, no need to spend a lot of time searching them out...
Instinctually, we want to maintain the hunter/prey relationship of the independent citizen who isn't being snooped on. But you know what? You're already being snooped on, ceaselessly. A parking meter isn't your problem.
Obviously, parking meters aren't the important device here. The connection revolution is going to upend the way we understand the where, who, how much and when of everything around us.
Hard work on the right things
Seth's Blog 15 May 2012, 11:00 am CEST
I don't think winners beat the competition because they work harder. And it's not even clear that they win because they have more creativity. The secret, I think, is in understanding what matters.
It's not obvious, and it changes. It changes by culture, by buyer, by product and even by the day of the week. But those that manage to capture the imagination, make sales and grow are doing it by perfecting the things that matter and ignoring the rest.
Both parts are difficult, particularly when you are surrounded by people who insist on fretting about and working on the stuff that makes no difference at all.
Make Things People Want
Talent imitates, genius steals 14 May 2012, 6:09 pm CEST
Wilsh has just posted this excellent deck.
You should read it.
Some it flows nicely from some of the thinking in the post below about opening up user data to users to help users help you, marketing as enablement, not image, which was pleasing.
But is far more briliant.
[HT @Rosiesiman]
Worldliness
Seth's Blog 14 May 2012, 11:41 am CEST
Intelligence is the combination of knowing a lot about a little while you also know a little about a lot.
Deep domain understanding helps you create analyses. Your ability to understand how a particular system (no matter how small) works allows you apply a confident analysis to new systems you encounter. Once you know everything there is to know about nuclear physics, soccer or the praying mantis, it makes it easier to understand new systems.
At the same time, it's impossible to be smart without also being aware of the wider world. That's because it's the random interactions and the surprising coincidences that help us navigate our daily lives.
The challenge of the net is that it made the large world a whole lot larger. There are the personal lives of your 1000 closest friends, on display, every day. Here is the news of the world, the whole world, not just what used to fit in the newspaper. And over there is every book ever published, every scientific discovery, every fringe political candidate.
Suddenly, it's a lot more difficult to know a little about a lot. It's tempting to spend ever more time pursuing that goal. That doesn't mean, I think, that you should give up knowing a lot about a little in order to devote ever more time to the noisy mosaic that's on your doorstep, nor does it mean you ought to give up and dive back into your hole. We've redefined worldly, but being an expert remains just as tough and important as it used to be.
The reason the customer is always right...
Seth's Blog 14 May 2012, 11:08 am CEST
If you insist that they are wrong, they stop being your customer* (if given half a chance).
People spend their time and attention and money in places that make them feel valued.
*There's nothing wrong with asking customers who are wrong to leave. Just be sure you do it on purpose.
Dedicating the merit
Seth's Blog 13 May 2012, 11:02 am CEST
For an author, one of the nicest parts of the traditional book is the dedication page. The dedication is far more than an acknowledgement to someone who helped you write the book, it's a permanent signpost, a capstone to the work of a year or more.
Even if the person you've dedicated the book to can't read it, the writer benefits from the knowledge that a connection was made and that a memory was preserved.
Here's the thing: you can dedicate just about anything. A project, a meeting, a tweet. You don't have to tell anyone but yourself. This blog post, like all the posts before it, has a dedication page, at least in my head.
When you start creating for and in honor of those that have made a difference to you, your work changes.
Naming things
Seth's Blog 12 May 2012, 11:22 am CEST
"Over there, by the fire, is that a stick or a snake?"
It turns out that humans have been naming things for a long time. If we know that this is a cheetah, or a grapefruit, we can make intelligent decisions on how to deal with it.
Lately, though, we've been naming more than things. Now we classify ideas and opportunities as well.
Getting smart about naming is at the heart of marketing. Calling every single person a 'customer', for example, is hardly a nuanced way of engaging with the public. Salespeople are especially nuanced at this, but often make mistakes as well. Car salesman are notorious for misnaming women who walk in (spouse instead of primary decision maker).
As an investor, are you misnaming the businesses you look at, mistaking a cliff business for a bootstrappable idea? Dozens of book editors misnamed Harry Potter at first glance, labeling it a 'loser from the slush pile' instead of the most profitable book they were ever offered.
Job interviews are nothing but sessions where we try to put a name on a stranger looking for employment. Is she a superstar in the making or someone we ought to avoid?
Most of all, are you misnaming opportunities and calling them risks instead?
When you are isolated or if the world is stable, your need to name new things goes down, and the world might feel safer as a result. Most of us don't live in that world, so our ability to name things becomes critical.
Just because we're not good at it doesn't mean it's not important.
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